PERAMALAN CURAH HUJAN DI KABUPATEN BLITAR MENGGUNAKAN FUZZY TIME SERIES

نویسندگان

چکیده

Peramalan jumlah curah hujan menjadi informasi yang sangat penting, karena dapat digunakan sebagai acuan dalam perencanaan diberbagai sektor seperti produksi pertanian, perkebunan, penerbangan, perikanan, dan sebagainya. Selain itu, peramalan juga bermanfaat untuk mendeteksi secara dini terhadap bencana terjadi akibat ektrim. Oleh perlu adanya jelas mengenai waktu/periode terjadinya hujan. Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah meramalkan periode menggunakan Metode Fuzzy Time Series. Penelitian menghasilkan Kabupaten Blitar Series dengan penentuan interval berdasarkan rata-rata data bulan November 2015-Desember 2019 diperoleh hasil Januari 2020 sebesar 10.288,14 mm nilai Mean Absolute Error (MAE) 3.103,61.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Science Nusantara

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2809-428X']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.28926/jsnu.v3i1.890